Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.001296 0.001343 0.001391 0.001444 0.001501 0.001560 0.001627
2025-08-17 0.001212 0.001281 0.001353 0.001436 0.001529 0.001629 0.001747
2025-08-24 0.001145 0.001228 0.001317 0.001422 0.001543 0.001679 0.001847
2025-08-31 0.001115 0.001211 0.001317 0.001445 0.001597 0.001775 0.002002
2025-09-07 0.001081 0.001186 0.001304 0.001450 0.001628 0.001843 0.002127
2025-09-14 0.001042 0.001152 0.001278 0.001437 0.001635 0.001879 0.002213
2025-09-21 0.001005 0.001118 0.001250 0.001418 0.001631 0.001900 0.002279
2025-09-28 0.000977 0.001093 0.001230 0.001408 0.001637 0.001932 0.002361
2025-10-05 0.000933 0.001049 0.001185 0.001363 0.001596 0.001899 0.002347
2025-10-12 0.000910 0.001028 0.001168 0.001353 0.001598 0.001924 0.002417
2025-10-19 0.000895 0.001015 0.001160 0.001354 0.001615 0.001968 0.002519
2025-10-26 0.000876 0.000998 0.001146 0.001346 0.001618 0.001994 0.002593
2025-11-02 0.000865 0.000990 0.001144 0.001354 0.001645 0.002056 0.002732
2025-11-09 0.000848 0.000975 0.001132 0.001348 0.001652 0.002088 0.002826
2025-11-16 0.000830 0.000957 0.001115 0.001336 0.001649 0.002106 0.002897
2025-11-23 0.000826 0.000957 0.001123 0.001356 0.001694 0.002199 0.003107
2025-11-30 0.000816 0.000950 0.001120 0.001361 0.001716 0.002257 0.003263
2025-12-07 0.000800 0.000934 0.001105 0.001349 0.001712 0.002274 0.003343
2025-12-14 0.000783 0.000916 0.001087 0.001333 0.001700 0.002276 0.003394
2025-12-21 0.000770 0.000903 0.001075 0.001323 0.001698 0.002295 0.003482
2025-12-28 0.000746 0.000875 0.001042 0.001283 0.001648 0.002230 0.003389
2026-01-04 0.000734 0.000863 0.001030 0.001274 0.001645 0.002245 0.003465
2026-01-11 0.000727 0.000856 0.001026 0.001275 0.001659 0.002288 0.003607